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United States
FIFA #
Round of 16
Mon Jul 6
Belgium
FIFA #
importance95
expected goals 1.85 – 3.05
No live odds connected. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Enter the current Robinhood / Kalshi price in the what-if panel to compute the edge and half-Kelly.
marketelo/fifamarketmodeledgeverdict
Result · United States win——22—no market
Result · Draw (90′)——17—no market
Result · Belgium win——62—no market
Total goals · Over 1.5——96—no market
Total goals · Over 2.5——87—no market
Total goals · Over 3.5——72—no market
Both teams score · Yes——81—no market
What-if: live price
Type the current price to resize against the model instantly.
model
22%
edge
+0.5%
half-kelly
0.0%
stake
$0