← all matches
South Africa
FIFA #
Round of 32
Sun Jun 28
Canada
FIFA #
importance90
expected goals 0.82 – 1.33
No live odds connected. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Enter the current Robinhood / Kalshi price in the what-if panel to compute the edge and half-Kelly.
marketelo/fifamarketmodeledgeverdict
Result · South Africa win——23—no market
Result · Draw (90′)——30—no market
Result · Canada win——48—no market
Total goals · Over 1.5——64—no market
Total goals · Over 2.5——36—no market
Total goals · Over 3.5——17—no market
Both teams score · Yes——42—no market
What-if: live price
Type the current price to resize against the model instantly.
model
23%
edge
-0.5%
half-kelly
0.0%
stake
$0