← all matches
Paraguay
FIFA #
Round of 16
Sat Jul 4
France
FIFA #
importance95
expected goals 0.79 – 1.93
No live odds connected. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Enter the current Robinhood / Kalshi price in the what-if panel to compute the edge and half-Kelly.
marketelo/fifamarketmodeledgeverdict
Result · Paraguay win——14—no market
Result · Draw (90′)——22—no market
Result · France win——64—no market
Total goals · Over 1.5——76—no market
Total goals · Over 2.5——51—no market
Total goals · Over 3.5——29—no market
Both teams score · Yes——47—no market
What-if: live price
Type the current price to resize against the model instantly.
model
14%
edge
+0.1%
half-kelly
0.0%
stake
$0