← all matches
Mexico
FIFA #
Round of 16
Sun Jul 5
England
FIFA #
importance95
expected goals 1.57 – 0.57
No live odds connected. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Enter the current Robinhood / Kalshi price in the what-if panel to compute the edge and half-Kelly.
marketelo/fifamarketmodeledgeverdict
Result · Mexico win——61—no market
Result · Draw (90′)——26—no market
Result · England win——13—no market
Total goals · Over 1.5——64—no market
Total goals · Over 2.5——36—no market
Total goals · Over 3.5——17—no market
Both teams score · Yes——35—no market
What-if: live price
Type the current price to resize against the model instantly.
model
61%
edge
+0.2%
half-kelly
0.0%
stake
$0