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Mexico
FIFA #
Round of 32
Tue Jun 30
Ecuador
FIFA #
importance90
expected goals 1.03 – 0.39
No live odds connected. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Enter the current Robinhood / Kalshi price in the what-if panel to compute the edge and half-Kelly.
marketelo/fifamarketmodeledgeverdict
Result · Mexico win——51—no market
Result · Draw (90′)——36—no market
Result · Ecuador win——13—no market
Total goals · Over 1.5——42—no market
Total goals · Over 2.5——17—no market
Total goals · Over 3.5——6—no market
Both teams score · Yes——21—no market
What-if: live price
Type the current price to resize against the model instantly.
model
51%
edge
+0.0%
half-kelly
0.0%
stake
$0