← all matches
Germany
FIFA #
Round of 32
Mon Jun 29
Paraguay
FIFA #
importance90
expected goals 2.78 – 1.42
No live odds connected. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Enter the current Robinhood / Kalshi price in the what-if panel to compute the edge and half-Kelly.
marketelo/fifamarketmodeledgeverdict
Result · Germany win——66—no market
Result · Draw (90′)——17—no market
Result · Paraguay win——17—no market
Total goals · Over 1.5——93—no market
Total goals · Over 2.5——79—no market
Total goals · Over 3.5——60—no market
Both teams score · Yes——71—no market
What-if: live price
Type the current price to resize against the model instantly.
model
66%
edge
-0.3%
half-kelly
0.0%
stake
$0