← all matches
FrancevMorocco
Quarterfinals · Thu Jul 9
importance95
expected goals 1.95 – 1.41
No live odds connected. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Enter the current Robinhood / Kalshi price in the what-if panel to compute the edge and half-Kelly.
| market | elo/fifa | market | model | edge | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result · France win | — | — | 50 | — | no market |
| Result · Draw (90′) | — | — | 23 | — | no market |
| Result · Morocco win | — | — | 27 | — | no market |
| Total goals · Over 1.5 | — | — | 85 | — | no market |
| Total goals · Over 2.5 | — | — | 65 | — | no market |
| Total goals · Over 3.5 | — | — | 43 | — | no market |
| Both teams score · Yes | — | — | 65 | — | no market |
What-if: live price
Type the current price to resize against the model instantly. Sizing is a share of the paper bankroll, never money.
model
50%
edge
-0.3%
half-kelly stake
0.0%