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France
FIFA #
Quarterfinals
Thu Jul 9
Morocco
FIFA #
importance95
expected goals 1.95 – 1.41
No live odds connected. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Enter the current Robinhood / Kalshi price in the what-if panel to compute the edge and half-Kelly.
marketelo/fifamarketmodeledgeverdict
Result · France win——50—no market
Result · Draw (90′)——23—no market
Result · Morocco win——27—no market
Total goals · Over 1.5——85—no market
Total goals · Over 2.5——65—no market
Total goals · Over 3.5——43—no market
Both teams score · Yes——65—no market
What-if: live price
Type the current price to resize against the model instantly.
model
50%
edge
-0.3%
half-kelly
0.0%
stake
$0