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Spain
FIFA #
Round of 32
Thu Jul 2
Austria
FIFA #
importance90
expected goals 1.74 – 0.90
No live odds connected. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Enter the current Robinhood / Kalshi price in the what-if panel to compute the edge and half-Kelly.
marketelo/fifamarketmodeledgeverdict
Result · Spain win——57—no market
Result · Draw (90′)——25—no market
Result · Austria win——19—no market
Total goals · Over 1.5——74—no market
Total goals · Over 2.5——49—no market
Total goals · Over 3.5——27—no market
Both teams score · Yes——49—no market
What-if: live price
Type the current price to resize against the model instantly.
model
57%
edge
-0.3%
half-kelly
0.0%
stake
$0