← all matches
Ivory CoastvNorway
Round of 32 · Tue Jun 30
importance90
expected goals 2.44 – 1.04
No market price was attached to this game. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Try a price in the what-if panel to see the edge and half-Kelly it would have implied.
| market | elo/fifa | market | model | edge | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result · Ivory Coast win | — | — | 68 | — | no market |
| Result · Draw (90′) | — | — | 18 | — | no market |
| Result · Norway win | — | — | 14 | — | no market |
| Total goals · Over 1.5 | — | — | 87 | — | no market |
| Total goals · Over 2.5 | — | — | 67 | — | no market |
| Total goals · Over 3.5 | — | — | 46 | — | no market |
| Both teams score · Yes | — | — | 59 | — | no market |
What-if: try a price
Type any price to see how the model would have sized it. Sizing is a share of the paper bankroll, never money.
model
68%
edge
-0.2%
half-kelly stake
0.0%