← all matches
Canada
FIFA #
Round of 16
Sat Jul 4
Morocco
FIFA #
importance95
expected goals 1.02 – 1.95
No live odds connected. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Enter the current Robinhood / Kalshi price in the what-if panel to compute the edge and half-Kelly.
marketelo/fifamarketmodeledgeverdict
Result · Canada win——19—no market
Result · Draw (90′)——23—no market
Result · Morocco win——59—no market
Total goals · Over 1.5——80—no market
Total goals · Over 2.5——57—no market
Total goals · Over 3.5——35—no market
Both teams score · Yes——55—no market
What-if: live price
Type the current price to resize against the model instantly.
model
19%
edge
-0.2%
half-kelly
0.0%
stake
$0