← all matches
Brazil
FIFA #
Round of 16
Sun Jul 5
Norway
FIFA #
importance95
expected goals 3.27 – 1.83
No live odds connected. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Enter the current Robinhood / Kalshi price in the what-if panel to compute the edge and half-Kelly.
marketelo/fifamarketmodeledgeverdict
Result · Brazil win——66—no market
Result · Draw (90′)——16—no market
Result · Norway win——19—no market
Total goals · Over 1.5——97—no market
Total goals · Over 2.5——88—no market
Total goals · Over 3.5——75—no market
Both teams score · Yes——81—no market
What-if: live price
Type the current price to resize against the model instantly.
model
66%
edge
-0.4%
half-kelly
0.0%
stake
$0