← all matches
Belgium
FIFA #
Round of 32
Wed Jul 1
Senegal
FIFA #
importance90
expected goals 2.59 – 1.26
No live odds connected. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Enter the current Robinhood / Kalshi price in the what-if panel to compute the edge and half-Kelly.
marketelo/fifamarketmodeledgeverdict
Result · Belgium win——66—no market
Result · Draw (90′)——18—no market
Result · Senegal win——16—no market
Total goals · Over 1.5——90—no market
Total goals · Over 2.5——74—no market
Total goals · Over 3.5——54—no market
Both teams score · Yes——67—no market
What-if: live price
Type the current price to resize against the model instantly.
model
66%
edge
-0.3%
half-kelly
0.0%
stake
$0