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Argentina
FIFA #
Round of 16
Tue Jul 7
Egypt
FIFA #
importance95
expected goals 1.45 – 1.09
No live odds connected. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Enter the current Robinhood / Kalshi price in the what-if panel to compute the edge and half-Kelly.
marketelo/fifamarketmodeledgeverdict
Result · Argentina win——45—no market
Result · Draw (90′)——28—no market
Result · Egypt win——28—no market
Total goals · Over 1.5——73—no market
Total goals · Over 2.5——47—no market
Total goals · Over 3.5——25—no market
Both teams score · Yes——51—no market
What-if: live price
Type the current price to resize against the model instantly.
model
45%
edge
-0.2%
half-kelly
0.0%
stake
$0