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Argentina
FIFA #
Round of 32
Fri Jul 3
Cape Verde
FIFA #
importance90
expected goals 2.05 – 0.57
No live odds connected. The probabilities below are the model's, fit from 2026 results. Enter the current Robinhood / Kalshi price in the what-if panel to compute the edge and half-Kelly.
marketelo/fifamarketmodeledgeverdict
Result · Argentina win——72—no market
Result · Draw (90′)——20—no market
Result · Cape Verde win——9—no market
Total goals · Over 1.5——74—no market
Total goals · Over 2.5——49—no market
Total goals · Over 3.5——27—no market
Both teams score · Yes——38—no market
What-if: live price
Type the current price to resize against the model instantly.
model
72%
edge
-0.3%
half-kelly
0.0%
stake
$0